Reports this past week from Japan, Holland, and the initial “site†of bird-flu, Vietnam, indicate that, indeed, this H5N1 virus is highly unlikely to become a world-wide pandemic. And physicians at the initial site, Vietnam, agree with what several others in international development have been saying: the amount of attention and resources ($$$) being put into a possible avian flu pandemic is irrational and detracts from other more pressing and real health issues globally.
Dr. Jeremy Farrar has treated about two dozen patients with avian influenza in the past three years at the Hospital for Tropical Diseases in Ho Chi Minh City—and no new cases yet this year. He put the avian flu into perspective in an interview with the International Herald Tribune: “Billions of chickens in Asia have been infected, and millions of people lived with them, yet less than 200 people have gotten infected.â€
The disease has been known in Asia nearly ten years, since 1997, and 105 people have died from it according to the latest figures from the World Health Organization. In the outbreak among fowl in eastern Turkey in January, 10 persons were found to have the virus, and two children died. Others carrying the virus had symptoms no more serious than a cold.
Reports in Nature and Science last week told why the virus isn’t spreading as governments would have us believe and why the two boys’ symptoms were no more than that of a cold. Scientists in Japan and Holland published similar findings: the receptors for the avian virus are clustered in the deepest branches of the human respiratory tract, thus the virus cannot be spread by coughs and sneezes.
The avian flu virus would have to undergo at least two major mutations in order to be transmitted between humans. The H5 strain of avian flu has been infecting people since the late 1950s and has not yet mutated into a form transmittable between humans.
So why is there such government frenzy at this time? The birds have been migrating all these decades, long before increased global travel spread viruses such as SARS. Attempts by the pharmaceutical companies to create a vaccine for this virus have killed half as many people as the disease has.
In the meantime the U.S. government’s brilliant advice to prepare for this pandemic: buy an extra can of tuna fish every time you’re shopping and powdered milk so that when there’s a quarantine you’ll have a food supply. Now the tuna has so much mercury in it, more than one can a week isn’t recommended (even by the same government), and the traces of antibiotics and chemicals in milk puts everyone who’s “got milk†at risk. This is your government’s recommended diet for a flu outbreak? One has to question the intelligence of those at the helm.
In case of any flu outbreaks, the homeopathic pharmacies have always developed the safest and only effective remedies. That’s who I’ll be calling on.
